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jthk2004
31-08-2004, 07:40
hi there. the hurricane (americas) and tropical cyclone (asia-pacific) season has started. here in florida already suffered from one of the strongest hurricane in history last month. to help u better prepared to avoid lives lost, here is a guide for all ya mates to have a little bit knowledge outside football and help ya determine it is the time to go to a shelter even if ya are leading 5 goals or more in a master league game. there's no take two in real life! so enjoy it...


for ppl in the americas...

what is a hurricane?
a hurricane is a type of tropical cyclone, which is a generic term for a low pressure system that generally forms in the tropics. the cyclone is accompanied by thunderstorms and, in the northern hemisphere, a counterclockwise circulation of winds near the earth's surface. tropical cyclones are classified as follows:

tropical depression
an organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds (1 minute average) of 38 mph (33 knots) or less

tropical storm
an organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph (34-63 knots)

hurricane
an intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 74 mph (64 knots) or higher

hurricanes are categorized according to the strength of their winds using the saffir-simpson hurricane scale. a category 1 storm has the lowest wind speeds, while a category 5 hurricane has the strongest. these are relative terms, because lower category storms can sometimes inflict greater damage than higher category storms, depending on where they strike and the particular hazards they bring. in fact, tropical storms can also produce significant damage and loss of life, mainly due to flooding.


the saffir-simpson hurricane scale
category 1 hurricane — winds 74-95 mph (64-82 knots)
no real damage to buildings. damage to unanchored mobile homes. some damage to poorly constructed signs. also, some coastal flooding and minor pier damage.

category 2 hurricane — winds 96-110 mph (83-95 knots)
some damage to building roofs, doors and windows. considerable damage to mobile homes. flooding damages piers and small craft in unprotected moorings may break their moorings. some trees blown down.

category 3 hurricane — winds 111-130 mph (96-113 knots)
some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings. large trees blown down. mobile homes and poorly built signs destroyed. flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by floating debris. terrain may be flooded well inland.

category 4 hurricane — winds 131-155 mph (114-135 knots)
more extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failure on small residences. major erosion of beach areas. terrain may be flooded well inland.

category 5 Hurricane — winds 156 mph and up (135+ knots)
complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. flooding causes major damage to lower floors of all structures near the shoreline. massive evacuation of residential areas may be required.

one of the most important decisions you will have to make is "should i evacuate?"

if you are asked to evacuate, you should do so without delay. but unless you live in a coastal or low-lying area, an area that floods frequently, or in manufactured housing, it is unlikely that emergency managers will ask you to evacuate. that means that it is important for you and your family to have a plan that makes you as safe as possible in your home.

disaster prevention includes modifying your home to strengthen it against storms so that you can be as safe as possible. it also includes having the supplies on hand to weather the storm. the suggestions provided here are only guides. you should use common sense in your disaster prevention.

develop a family plan - your family's plan should be based on your vulnerability to the hurricane hazards. you should keep a written plan and share your plan with other friends or family.

create a disaster supply kit - there are certain items you need to have regardless of where you ride out a hurricane. the disaster supply kit is a useful tool when you evacuate as well as making you as safe as possible in your home.

secure your home - there are things that you can do to make your home more secure and able to withstand stronger storms.

online vulnerability information - there are web sites that can give you information about your communities vulnerability to specific hazards. these include hurricanes as well as other weather related hazards.

and u gotta be aware of hurricanes too. here is a quiz for you...
1 what are the hurricane hazards?
storm surge, marine hazards, tornadoes, high winds, and inland flooding

2 what does it mean to you?
do you live in a surge zone? on a barrier island? in an area prone to flooding? in a strong sturdy home?

3 what actions should you take to be prepared?
family disaster plan, disaster supply kit, secure your home, have a place to go, and stay aware

be sure to ask other family memebers, friends and neighbors if they are hurricane aware too.

taking action is as easy as 1-2-3:
1 before...
assemble your disaster supply kit
these items are often scattered around your home and simply need to be brought together into one location.
write out your family disaster plan
discuss the possible hazards with your family. determine if you are in an evacuation area. identify an out-of-town family contact.

2 watch...
check your disaster supply kit
make sure nothing is missing. determine if there is anything you need to supplement your kit. replenish your water.
activate your Family disaster plan
protective measures should be initiated, especially those actions that require extra time (for example, securing a boat or leaving a barrier island).

3 warning...
ready your disaster supply kit for use
if you need to evacuate, you should bring your supply kit with you.
use your family disaster plan
your family should be in the process of completing protective actions and deciding the safest location to be during the storm.

more to come...

guide for asia-pacific to follow...

-=[101st]=-
31-08-2004, 07:46
don't mean to be rude... but what is the point of this thread?? is it a discussion thread?? or a warning thread??

jthk2004
31-08-2004, 07:49
and i will supply the latest information of hurricanes and tropical cyclone as well... here is the latest on hurricane frances that is eyeing florida to make its landfall...

latest information on hurricane frances from the united states national hurricane centre...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0604W5+GIF/310338W5.gif

...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE FRANCES PASSING NORTH OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD
ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA... ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...S T.
KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA...GUADELOUPE. ..AND ALSO FOR PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST.
THOMAS...ST. JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN...
ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. CROIX...AND FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM MANZANILLO BAY EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
FOR PORTIONS OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES... 225 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. MARTIN IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE
ISLANDS TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...19.8 N... 62.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

probabilities of centre of of hurricane frances passing within 65 nautical miles...
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

20.9N 66.3W 53 1 X X 54 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 14 14
21.8N 69.1W 1 37 X X 38 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 15 15
23.0N 71.9W X 7 23 1 31 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 11 11
TIST 183N 650W 3 X X X 3 ST THOMAS VI 3 X X X 3
MDSD 185N 697W X 2 1 X 3 SAN JUAN PR 4 X X X 4
MTPP 186N 724W X X 1 1 2 MARATHON FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X X 1 5 6 MIAMI FL X X X 7 7
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 5 5 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 7 7
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 FT PIERCE FL X X X 6 6
TJSJ 184N 661W 4 X X X 4 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 5 5
MDPP 198N 707W X 7 5 1 13 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MBJT 215N 712W X 15 12 X 27 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MYMM 224N 730W X 1 20 2 23 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X 14 9 23 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MYEG 235N 758W X X 5 13 18 VENICE FL X X X 2 2

KEY
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

-=[101st]=-
31-08-2004, 07:51
are u a meteorologist?? or is it just a passion?

jthk2004
31-08-2004, 07:52
=-']don't mean to be rude... but what is the point of this thread?? is it a discussion thread?? or a warning thread??

well, u can discuss anything about hurricane and tropical cyclones... and for miami ffc and adams9802 and all mates, it's a reminder for them that a hurricane is on the way again to make landfall in florida...

jthk2004
31-08-2004, 07:55
=-']are u a meteorologist?? or is it just a passion?

my major in the florida international university is television... yes it is my second passion after football (soccer)... and transportation is my third passion... love and gals are ranked fourth...

-=[101st]=-
31-08-2004, 09:01
i see.. this is one of the more obscure threads in this forum.. but.. it will be handy if i ever live anywhere that can be threatened by hurricanes..

mutu
31-08-2004, 09:38
Any heading towards London?



Here's an odd idea, how about just give them the website
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

-=[101st]=-
31-08-2004, 09:52
yea.. that would be handy to know.. i am planning a holiday to london.. and i want to know weather to pack a brolly or not??

no ladies and gentlemen that is not poor grammar/spelling it is a pun.. :p

7RONALDO7
31-08-2004, 12:55
Errrr, There is just one thing to know about hurricanes.......JUST RUN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jonny2J
31-08-2004, 13:10
dammit i was excited then, i thought it was gonna be a thread on the classic cartoon!

Flipper the Priest
31-08-2004, 13:15
WE'RE THE HURRICANES!

OUR CHAMPION SPIRIT IS HERE TO STAY! DAH DAH DAH!

WE'RE THE HURRICANES!

STORM TIME IS COMING TO YOU TODAY!



The best stadium in the world,ever, that bunch.

Jonny2J
31-08-2004, 13:29
WE'RE THE HURRICANES!

OUR CHAMPION SPIRIT IS HERE TO STAY! DAH DAH DAH!

WE'RE THE HURRICANES!

STORM TIME IS COMING TO YOU TODAY!



The best stadium in the world,ever, that bunch.the black geezer was the best who wouldnt play with his shoes on, but i do remember a set of twins, and the goalkeeper who lost his lucky emblen which he brother gave him before he fell off a stadium :eek: and when the female on it sported a tash and was the best player outta the bunch!

Badgerman
01-09-2004, 01:38
It'd suck to live in Florida, bar the weather.

svendust
01-09-2004, 13:56
Oh shit!

Are there gonna be any hurricanes in Florida between 18th September and Oct 3rd and is our villa in Kissimee likely to be still standing?

stevieboy
01-09-2004, 14:59
My g/f works in the travel industry. Her job title is "Overseas Support Supervisor".
She has a 24 hour duty mobile phone.
It goes off. A lot.
At 02:00 hrs GMT mainly.
Sheeeit!

svendust
04-10-2004, 14:35
Oh shit!

Are there gonna be any hurricanes in Florida between 18th September and Oct 3rd and is our villa in Kissimee likely to be still standing?

Just got back, villa is standing although part of the mosquito net is in the lake.

I have to say I was kinda dissapointed with hurricane Jeanne, don't know what all the fuss was about, although the hurricane had weakened to about 80mph winds by the time it got to us.

Shame we weren't allowed out during the hurricane though (curfew meant anyone out during sunday/monday got shot), would have been an interesting walk to the shops in 80mph winds, I did sneak out to take a few pics on phone though.