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myClub – Why you shouldn’t hope for your favorite 80+ player

fizzel0r

New Member
Introduction
After years of disappointments, Konami has finally delivered a product again which deserves to be called Pro Evolution Soccer. While there are still many flaws, in part on the pitch, in part in the feature department (e.g. editing), we finally see them moving in the right direction. This couldn’t be said for the past iterations. So this article comes from a very positive perspective on the game as a whole. However, playing the myClub mode for almost a week now, it is time to have a critical look on it.

myClub vs. MLO
The MLO became a very popular mode when it was introduced – even with the above mentioned flaws in gameplay. The idea to start with a bad team and improve it while battling with other users for the crown was very addictive. However, after a certain period, the majority of opponents you’d face would have the same core of players. They had accumulated all the star and (or) all the fast players. This flood of highly gifted players within a team was seen as way too high by most people.
Instead of making changes to the MLO that would resolve this issue, Konami came around the corner with another concept. Now, in myClub, all transfers are random. You can only increase odds by selecting up to 3 regular agents or getting a top agent. The transfer system has been completely removed. They also introduce microtransactions with the ability of buying myClub Coins starting today. Talking about jumping on the EA bandwagon, eh? Sure, Konami as a company has all the right to improve their business and microtransactions are a superb profit generator in the gaming industry nowadays. But as a long time loyal customer, the implementation is very unfavorable.

Odds for getting your player
Let’s assume you would like to have Messi (or any other 80+ player – let’s say Gignac). What are the odds for getting this player? Since there is no chance to buy him somewhere as there is no transfer market, you would have to go hire a top agent. The top agent gives you 100% chance to land a 75+ player. However, the chance of getting an 80+ player are – as far as I can tell from the graphic – 16.67%. The (in-?)famous black ball is what you want to get out of the top agent draw.

When you are lucky enough to draw a black ball…. What are the odds to get your favorite player? There are 106 attackers rated 80+ in PES 2015 right now. So the chance of getting Messi is 0.94% - that is if you’ve drawn a black ball already, of course. The combined odd of drawing that player is less than 0.16%. To put this into perspective: You draw Messi (or any other player) in every 636 top agent draws. That’s 6,360,000 GP or 159,000 myClub Coins.

Odds for getting one player out of a defined pool
Now we are not going to focus on a single player. I might be happy enough to draw one of the super strikers: L. Messi, C. Ronaldo, Z. Ibrahimovic, A. Robben, R. van Persie, L. Suárez, G. Bale, E. Cavani, S. Agüero, R. Falcao, J. Mata, Neymar, W. Rooney, R. Lewandowski, C. Tévez, J. M. Callejón, D. Drogba, K. Benzema, D. Costa, G. Higuaín, T. Müller, M. Mandžukic, Niang, M. Balotelli, F. Quagliarella, Hulk, A. Griezmann.
Those are all 85+ rated forwards currently in the game. A pool of 27 players. Would be great for your team to have any of them, right?

So let’s hire our top agent again. Castolo, our good old friend, takes your 10,000 GP and goes to search for a player.
The odds for getting any one of the above players (27/106 times 0.1667) is roughly 4.25% - or every 23 draws (That’s 230,000 GP or 5,750 myClub Coins).

Talk about understanding the value of that digital pre-order bonus. While I “just” received Götze, Alaba and Neuer, the small odds for getting a player of this caliber make me happy with what I got. Surely, others were more lucky and got Ronaldo and Ibra. But this might just take me 1,200 Top Agent draws to land.

myClub Coins
The ingame curreny myClub Coins is planned to go live today. The prices are already known (EURO prices):

• 100 myClub Coins (€0.99)
• 250 myClub Coins (€2.49)
• 1050 myClub Coins (€9.99)
• 2150 myClub Coins (€19.99)
• 3300 myClub Coins (€29.99)
• 5800 myClub Coins (€49.99)
• 12000 myClub Coins (€99.99)

Ouch! Those are proud numbers. Coming back to the example above – if it takes exactly 23 draws to land one of the 27 strikers that are 85+ - that’s 5,750 myClub Coins equaling 50 Euros. Even worse, when you don’t hit one of those players, you are left with another player you might sell for 300 to maybe 800 GP in return.

If we take the other example of getting exactly one player out of those 80+ players – whether it’s Messi, Ronaldo or even Gignac if you’re an OM supporter – this player will come to your club every 636 draws on average (could be less, could be more, of course). 636 draws equal 6,360,000 GP and 159,000 myClub Coins. If you plan on opening your wallet – that’s 1,325 EUR.

A change of mindset is necessary – but is it sufficient?
While I also disliked the way the former MLO allowed to pile up top players, Konami took a different direction. Oh boy, have they taken an other direction! Driven by the economic axiom of maximizing profit, they went into a very user unfriendly direction. The loyal customer base that has lived through all these bad years gameplay wise are now there to be milked. Or is our mindset wrong? Shouldn’t we aim to get “our” dream team anymore and instead work with what we got? Sure, that makes it a totally new experience where I like the basic idea of. But is this what the majority really wants? Being happy to draw a player you even know? While I’m not too sure about this right now – not even for myself – I can’t oversee the fact that this design is unfavorable.

Even with a new mindset – let’s say I just work with what I get and that satisfies me. Now I have Neuer – his contract costs 3,800 GP or more than 100 myClub Coins. That’s more than 1 EUR for 10 games of having the best Goalkeeper in my team. Well, that’s expensive.

Maybe there will be special packages in the future, maybe you are able to spend 30,000 GP on an agent that will land you an 80+ player for sure. Maybe there will be agents that at least give you a certain position in return if your team badly needs an RMF. This would at least give you higher odds. But who knows what Konami has in store for us.

Conclusion
The combination of odds for drawing top players and the prices for the myClub Coins make it clear for me: Don’t buy it. I would hope that Konami have made it a prohibitive high price to keep people from stockpiling star players. But man, if someone is stupid enough to spend real money on this system (and people will, unfortunately), they are going to be ripped off badly. There isn’t even a market for players that can give you more in return than you spent. Even in the competitors Ultimate Team that’s more fair. You might hit that one TOTY Ronaldo that would get you Coins enough to draw gold packs until your thumbs are numb.

Whatever the odds are.
 

sillen102

Registered User
I agree with you on almost everything. I'm one of those who haven't recieved my pre-order bonus yet but as I've been promised by Konami they will fix it for us today. Can't wait to get home from work to draw that Ronaldo :happy:

But in a sence it's the charm of the mode. You might not get a whole team full with 85+ players. You might get 4 or 5. For me that's charming in a way since if you play with whatever club in regular online leages you won't have a team ful of 85+ players. Unless you play with Real Madrid maybe.
 

CBC x Dan

Registered User
I think the signing an agent in order to get you a player is a great concept, I just think it needs a slight change for example...

The ability to sign an agent who then guarantee's you a player level 80 or above obviously this agent would have to cost say 500 000 coins but it would allow players to have more control over the ability to sign top players.
 

Parkinfed

Registered User
I agree with you on almost everything. I'm one of those who haven't recieved my pre-order bonus yet but as I've been promised by Konami they will fix it for us today. Can't wait to get home from work to draw that Ronaldo :happy:
All the best for that draw, mate!
But in a sence it's the charm of the mode. You might not get a whole team full with 85+ players. You might get 4 or 5. For me that's charming in a way since if you play with whatever club in regular online leages you won't have a team ful of 85+ players. Unless you play with Real Madrid maybe.
Not to mention getting players compatible with your existing coach...
 

Baddar

Registered User
Good write up.

I like that the odds are so low, and that it has a random aspect. I pulled Thiago Silva as my TOTY pick, and my only black ball selection thus far has been Andrea Orlandi - it's just my luck to get a Blackpool player.
 

Biggus18

Registered User
I'm happy with the random player thing. I am yet to get my TOTY pick but managed to bag two black ball players via top agent and I got Jackson Martinez and Vidic so pleased with that.

I have just got on with it and I enjoy playing the game in terms of passing the ball around and good gameplay so I'm not really that fussed about having a whole squad of top players (does help sometimes though).

In the last few versions, I made a point not to buy Ronaldo or Messi cos I wanted a more rounded team.

Cracks me up when people try to play this version like they played the last shitty PES14 version :)
 

myzer2005

Registered User
Yet it doesn't seem very random for lower rated players... most of the teams I play have the same lot of players I do... hmm :/

Oh and I don't mean the starting players we get.
 

TeknoBug

Registered User
I got a black ball today, an 82 overall GK and he's 100% compatible with my manager, pushed my team spirit up to 85 (from 79), woohoo. I have 50% 70 or better and other 50% are below 70, seems to mix in well, I found that having too many high rated players just don't have the chemistry you would hope for (can be achieved very easily in FIFA UT).
 

swaty

Registered User
i think the nba system is the best system, even though everyone will end up with the same players anyway
 

sillen102

Registered User
The more I think about it the more I like the system in myClub. In FIFA you can't really get the best players without paying real money. It is impossible to f.i. get Messi or Ronaldo just by playing games. There is no way in hell you're getting a couple of million coins just by playing games. Unless you play all day long, 7 days a week.

Also you can't really buy packs with the coins you get from playing and seriously hope to get a Messi or Ronaldo. However in myClub you have a chance to get that black ball after every game. There is a black ball in every regular agent you get after each game. And so far the regular agents have given me Neuer and Chiellini. So it's not only the top agents that get you good players.

The thing is that I have found it better to only use one agent at a time. There is only one black ball in the spin even if you use all three possible agents. The difference is that there is more silver balls and less white balls. But if I get a white ball player, then I really don't care. I just release him and collect 250 GP. Instead of using three agents and maybe get a silver player, instead of white ball one, who I can release for 450 GP or something I can use them to get three chances to that black ball instead of one and at the worst I get 750 GP instead of 400-500.
 

Biggus18

Registered User
The more I think about it the more I like the system in myClub. In FIFA you can't really get the best players without paying real money. It is impossible to f.i. get Messi or Ronaldo just by playing games. There is no way in hell you're getting a couple of million coins just by playing games. Unless you play all day long, 7 days a week.

Also you can't really buy packs with the coins you get from playing and seriously hope to get a Messi or Ronaldo. However in myClub you have a chance to get that black ball after every game. There is a black ball in every regular agent you get after each game. And so far the regular agents have given me Neuer and Chiellini. So it's not only the top agents that get you good players.

The thing is that I have found it better to only use one agent at a time. There is only one black ball in the spin even if you use all three possible agents. The difference is that there is more silver balls and less white balls. But if I get a white ball player, then I really don't care. I just release him and collect 250 GP. Instead of using three agents and maybe get a silver player, instead of white ball one, who I can release for 450 GP or something I can use them to get three chances to that black ball instead of one and at the worst I get 750 GP instead of 400-500.

Hmm that's not a bad idea!! I am yet to get a black ball on regular agents but it makes sense to try it there with a single agent..
 

TheStupidFox

Registered User
The more I think about it the more I like the system in myClub. In FIFA you can't really get the best players without paying real money. It is impossible to f.i. get Messi or Ronaldo just by playing games. There is no way in hell you're getting a couple of million coins just by playing games. Unless you play all day long, 7 days a week.

Also you can't really buy packs with the coins you get from playing and seriously hope to get a Messi or Ronaldo. However in myClub you have a chance to get that black ball after every game. There is a black ball in every regular agent you get after each game. And so far the regular agents have given me Neuer and Chiellini. So it's not only the top agents that get you good players.

The thing is that I have found it better to only use one agent at a time. There is only one black ball in the spin even if you use all three possible agents. The difference is that there is more silver balls and less white balls. But if I get a white ball player, then I really don't care. I just release him and collect 250 GP. Instead of using three agents and maybe get a silver player, instead of white ball one, who I can release for 450 GP or something I can use them to get three chances to that black ball instead of one and at the worst I get 750 GP instead of 400-500.

I would agree with you for not merging agents together especially at the start where piling up players is a good way to get away from buying contracts.

On the other hand, I don't agree at all about Fifa and not being able to have great players. The market helps you doing that just by selling players.

See, in PES I signed 4 midfielders at 10k GP each and got 4 RMF. This is ridiculous. My other midfielders are in the 60s while I have 4 players on the same spot because of the 'Lottery'. Yes I can release them but I paid 10k and I will only get a few GPs for releasing them so that's irritating.

So one of two things would make it right:

1- Creating a market. Let's say we discard that option because yes it can be a pain in the butt and you know what I'm talking about if you played Fifa.

2- Let us choose the position we need. When I pay 10k, even though I'm not a big fan of it I think it is OK that there is a lottery (for the rating that is) BUT if I want a LMF or DMF give me the option to select what I want and then I'll deal with the 'random' rating' but at least I will come out of the signing continuing to build my squad.

This would also be really easy to implement.

My two cents
 

sillen102

Registered User
On the other hand, I don't agree at all about Fifa and not being able to have great players. The market helps you doing that just by selling players.

Not really. Do you know how much time you will have to spend on the market in order to get up to about 4 million coins (Ronaldo currently costs about 3,8 million coins on FUT 15)? It's hard to work the market nowadays. Fathead and compare price function in FUT have really made it a lot harder to buy players cheap and sell them at overprice. I'm not saying it's not possible. But it's a lot harder then it used to be a couple of years ago on f.i. FIFA 11-13.

Better then to get an extra job. If you work 4-5 days in a month on some job you can pretty much buy all the packs you want. And you would have to spend maybe 30 hours extra on that job. But then you would have to spend real money on FUT. So I would again say it's nearly impossible to have Ronaldo/Messi on FUT without having the luck equal to winning the lottery when opening packs or spend real money.

If you think you can sell players you get from the packs you open from the coins you get from playing only, then think again. In a pack you're lucky if you get 4 players and most of them (about 99%) will only sell for discard price or slightly above. So for a pack worth 7,500 coins you might sell players and items for at most 2,500-3,000. And to get 7,500 coins you would have to play about 10 games. There are people who have literally opened thousands of packs and never got a Ronaldo or a Messi. So the chance of you getting them from just opening packs with earned coins is pretty much zero.
 

TheStupidFox

Registered User
Not really. Do you know how much time you will have to spend on the market in order to get up to about 4 million coins (Ronaldo currently costs about 3,8 million coins on FUT 15)? It's hard to work the market nowadays. Fathead and compare price function in FUT have really made it a lot harder to buy players cheap and sell them at overprice. I'm not saying it's not possible. But it's a lot harder then it used to be a couple of years ago on f.i. FIFA 11-13.

Better then to get an extra job. If you work 4-5 days in a month on some job you can pretty much buy all the packs you want. And you would have to spend maybe 30 hours extra on that job. But then you would have to spend real money on FUT. So I would again say it's nearly impossible to have Ronaldo/Messi on FUT without having the luck equal to winning the lottery when opening packs or spend real money.

If you think you can sell players you get from the packs you open from the coins you get from playing only, then think again. In a pack you're lucky if you get 4 players and most of them (about 99%) will only sell for discard price or slightly above. So for a pack worth 7,500 coins you might sell players and items for at most 2,500-3,000. And to get 7,500 coins you would have to play about 10 games. There are people who have literally opened thousands of packs and never got a Ronaldo or a Messi. So the chance of you getting them from just opening packs with earned coins is pretty much zero.

OK then. I made 351k profit after tax over the past 10 days and already have invested in other players such as IF Muller and IF Kroos and I'm not putting that much time into trading. I'm actually just buying IF players from good leagues and sell them and that's about it.

This way I managed to buy the likes of Ibra and Bale and others so I don't know how people can't benefit from the market really.

When I say sell your players, I mean with profit and not quick sell them! DO NOT buy packs if you want to make coins. Just trade.

I must say I bought 40$ of packs at the start and got Di Maria who was around 160k and that got me started. But then again you can trade your way up.

That being said, the prices are ridiculously high because of coin sellers.

Cheers
 
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